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  • A Comparative Analysis of Chronic and Non-Chronic Insured Commercial Member Cost Trends
    A Comparative Analysis of Chronic and Non-Chronic Insured Commercial Member Cost Trends Disease management ... as a health care intervention targeted to individuals with chronic diseases chronics. The untested assumption ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Robert Bachler, Iver Juster
    • Date: Jun 2005
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Leadership>Thought leadership
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Compliance; Experience Studies & Data>Disability; Experience Studies & Data>Morbidity; Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health risks
  • Results From the 2017 Predictive Analytics in Health Care Trend Forecast
    Results From the 2017 Predictive Analytics in Health Care Trend Forecast Results of a survey of healthcare ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Oct 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Testing Actuarial Methods for Evaluating Disease Management Savings Outcomes
    Management Savings Outcomes This paper applies the principles and methodologies discussed in earlier ... management DM program for the 200,000 Medicare members of a regional managed care plan. We then study how ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Rebecca Owen, Henry Dove
    • Date: May 2006
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability
  • Understanding the Economics of Disease Management Programs
    Understanding the Economics of Disease Management Programs Summary of cost-reduction and quality improvement ... within the disease management sector. Paper 4 of an 8 paper series on 'An Introduction to Care Management ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Aug 2004
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability
  • An Introduction To Care Management Interventions And Their Implications For Actuaries
    An Introduction To Care Management Interventions And Their Implications For Actuaries Duncan's personal ... personal reflections on the state of care management evaluation. Health care quality;Markov Chain;Medicare;Disease ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Apr 2008
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability
  • University Programs for Academic/Practitioner Collaboration—Part One
    describes the activities of the Goldenson Center for Actuarial Studies at UConn as an example of a successful ... Ian Duncan At the recent Society of Actuaries Annual Meeting in San Diego, I was part of a panel that ...
    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Jeyaraj Vadiveloo
    • Date: Apr 2014
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Expanding Horizons
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Academic partnerships
  • Estimating Savings, Utilization Rate Changes, and Return on Investment from Care Management Interventions - Selective Literature review of Care Management Interventions
    Investment from Care Management Interventions - Selective Literature review of Care Management Interventions ... Interventions A review of literature regarding care management program outcomes - either financial or utilization-related ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Henry Dove
    • Date: Mar 2005
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability
  • An Introduction To Care Management Interventions And Their Implications For Actuaries - Paper 1: Programs and Interventions
    An Introduction To Care Management Interventions And Their Implications For Actuaries - Paper 1: Programs ... paper describes seven methods used in care management in the order of their historical development: 1. Pre-Authorization ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Henry Dove
    • Date: Aug 2004
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability
  • Critical Review of Stochastic Simulation Literature and Applications for Health Actuaries
    Critical Review of Stochastic Simulation Literature and Applications for Health Actuaries A study on ... Dynamic simulation models;Group health plans;Health care costs;Health insurance;Markov Chain;Monte Carlo simulation;Stochastic ...

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    • Authors: Louise H Anderson, Ian G Duncan, Katherine Hall, Brian C Martinson
    • Date: Sep 2007
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Actuarial Issues in Care Management Evaluations
    Actuarial Issues in Care Management Evaluations This paper addresses specific details of measurement principles ... practice that the actuary should consider when planning to conduct or review a study of care management ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Henry Dove
    • Date: Aug 2004
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability